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Friday, October 18, 2019

The Improbable Road to Impeachment

There are people calling for Trump's impeachment. How much of this is crimes against the Constitution and how much of this is just people who are upset that Hillary Clinton lost the election?

Not surprisingly, the opinions are divided among party lines. More conservatives are happy with the job President Trump is doing and more liberals feel he should be removed from office.

Let's look at the impeachment process. The first step is underway. The House of Representatives, controlled by the Liberals (54%), have delivered articles of impeachment against the President. An investigation is underway and at the conclusion of that, the Senate will vote on whether to remove the President from office. Let's assume it reaches the Senate before the 2020 election. There are 53 Republicans in the Senate Chamber. You need at least 67 votes in order to remove the president from office.

As of right now, this is not a likely scenario. If the process were to continue beyond the 2020 Election (a more likely possibility), the Liberals would need to win 20 seats in the Senate. I personally do not see this as likely to happen.

Let's say it does happen. What then? Who becomes President? Mike Pence. Do you think Trump's policies will end the day he becomes removed from office. Hardly. Pence has done what any other vice president would do: speak with the same voice at the rest of the administration. What do the Liberals in Congress expect? Do they think there will be a shift in ideology and policy? Maybe, but it won't be one that will move much in the direction they campaign for.

Donald Trump is not a perfect human being. No one is. In my opinion, the attempt to impeach the President is motivated by the same reasons that motivated calls for the impeachment of President Bill Clinton: One party lost the election and people can't live with that. When it's your candidate that lost the election, you can look for ways to remove the victor from office or you can live with the results. Nancy Pelosi and the rest of the Liberals have chosen to look for ways to remove the victor.

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